|
Trong the gioi soi dong cua ket qua bong da, viec phan tich ket qua tran dau khong chi dung lai o so ban thang hay the phat. Mot chi so tuong chung don gian nhung lai an chua vo van thong tin chuyen sau, do chinh la thong ke phat goc. Doi voi nhung nguoi dam me ca cuoc thong minh hay cac nha phan tich chien thuat, viec nam bat duoc quy luat va y nghia cua cac qua phat goc co the la chia khoa mo ra nhung du doan chinh xac ve ket qua bong da. Hay cung di sau vao the gioi hap dan cua nhung goc san co nay!
Thong ke phat goc thuong bi danh gia thap hon cac chi so tan cong truc tiep khac nhu cu sut trung dich hay thoi gian kiem soat bong. Tuy nhien, no lai la mot chi so phan anh manh me xu huong choi bong va ap luc tan cong cua mot doi. Mot doi bong lien tuc tao ra phat goc cho thay ho dang don ep doi thu ve phan san nha, buoc doi phuong phai phong ngu mot cach bi dong va thuong xuyen pha bong ra ngoai bien ngang.
Tai Sao Thong Ke Phat Goc Lai Quan Trong Den Vay?
Co nhieu ly do khien cac chuyen gia luon chu trong den so lieu nay khi soi keo hoac nhan dinh ket qua bong da:
- Minh chung cho su Ap Dao Tan Cong: So luong phat goc cao khong phai la ngau nhien. No la he qua truc tiep cua viec mot doi bong lien tuc dua bong vao khu vuc nguy hiem, buoc hang phong ngu doi phuong phai hoat dong het cong suat. Neu mot doi co trung binh tren 7 phat goc moi tran, do la dau hieu ro rang cho thay ho kiem soat the tran tan cong mot cach ap dao.
- Yeu To The Luc va Chien Thuat: Doi bong choi pressing tam cao, khong ngai va cham, thuong tao ra nhieu phat goc hon. Nguoc lai, doi phong ngu lui sau, thuong xuyen pha bong vo toi va ra bien ngang cung gop phan lam tang thong ke nay cho doi thu. Hieu duoc tam ly chien thuat nay giup chung ta du doan duoc ket qua bong da co xu huong nghieng ve doi nao trong nhung phut cuoi.
- Ty Le Chuyen Hoa Thanh Ban Thang (Corner to Goal Ratio): Du khong phai luc nao cung truc tiep dan den ban thang, nhung phat goc la mot co hoi "tai khoi dong" dot tan cong gan khung thanh. Mot so doi bong co chien thuat da phat goc cuc ky sac ben (vi du: da phat goc ngan, tat xoay) se co ty le chuyen hoa cao hon. Phan tich doi nao thuong ghi ban tu phat goc (hay con goi la ban thang co dinh) la mot yeu to then chot.
Phan Tich Chuyen Sau Ve Chi So Goc
De su dung hieu qua thong ke phat goc trong viec du doan ket qua bong da, chung ta can nhin xa hon tong so luong. Hay xem xet cac khia canh sau:
Goc Doi Nha vs. Goc Doi Khach: Dung chi nhin vao tong so phat goc cua tran dau. Hay tach biet thong ke cua tung doi. Doi nao co xu huong duoc huong nhieu goc hon khi da san nha va khi lam khach? Su chenh lech nay cho thay kha nang thich ung va su tu tin cua ho khi doi dau voi cac loai hinh phong ngu khac nhau.
Phat Goc Trong Hiep 1: So luong phat goc trong 45 phut dau thuong phan anh y do nhap cuoc cua hai huan luyen vien. Mot tran dau co nhieu phat goc hiep 1 thuong la mot tran cau mo, khong co nhieu su tham do de dat.
Su Bien Dong Theo Ty So: Khi mot doi bi dan truoc, so luong phat goc cua ho gan nhu chac chan se tang len, boi ho buoc phai don toan luc tan cong. Neu ban thay mot doi bi dan 1-0 va lien tuc co phat goc, do la dau hieu tich cuc cho thay ho dang tao ra co hoi, va ban go hoa co the den bat cu luc nao.
Ap Dung Thong Ke Vao Du Doan Ket Qua Bong Da
Viec du doan ket qua bong da khong chi dua vao phong do ghi ban, ma con la kha nang kiem soat khong gian. Khi phan tich keo phat goc, ban can so sanh muc trung binh phat goc cua hai doi voi ty le cuoc duoc nha cai dua ra.
Vi du, neu doi A trung binh 8 phat goc/tran va doi B chi 3 phat goc/tran, kha nang tran dau co tong so phat goc lon (vi du: tren 9.5) la rat cao, dac biet neu tran dau do dien ra tren san nha cua doi A.
Tuy nhien, can luu y den cac truong hop ngoai le: cac doi phong ngu phan cong sac ben co the khong tao ra nhieu goc nhung lai rat nguy hiem khi co goc. Vi vay, luon ket hop chi so phat goc voi cac yeu to khac nhu doi hinh ra san, lich su doi dau, va thoi tiet.
Thong ke phat goc la mot cong cu manh me giup nguoi choi va nguoi ham mo co cai nhin sau sac hon ve dien bien thuc su cua tran dau, vuot xa nhung con so ty so cuoi cung. Viec nam vung cach dien giai nhung con so nay chac chan se nang tam kha nang phan tich ket qua bong da cua ban len mot dang cap moi. Hay bat dau quan sat nhung goc san co do, ban se kham pha ra nhieu dieu bat ngo! Xem them: VDQG Li Bang, Bai viet lien quan:
|